Dan Gheorghiu's Weblog

DOWJOW month:
- strong decrease in history, stronger than 87,
6000 is on support


sell DOWJOW
- nikkey broke support
- 8 days passed

Nikkey reached 8100 this morning. After 7500 -> there is no support from 92 !!!
DOWJOW is 8500 on its way to 7000
Tommorow starts G8

The stocks are near the minimum levels.
GDP/USD, EUR/USD are near FIB68

EUR/CHF broke FIB68 !!!!
GDP/CHF is neare min from 96, and resumed the mothly downside
GDP/JPY broke FIB68

DOW FIB 68 broken !!! ( since 2003 )
the next support is 7000

NIKKEY has the same graphic as DOWJOW, broken FIB68 from 2003, target  7500

DAAX broke FIB50, target = 4500

USD/JPY: SELL
USD/CHF: reached ML, div macd, => trend change. SELL
GDP/JPY: SELL
EUR/USD: increased on weak candles, SELL
EUR/GDP: after hitting the sup of the channel, increased 2 days =>Sideway
EUR/CHF: sell

the signals are not very strong, so wait

GOLD: after reached max, desc, looks like sideway

It was more a choppy market, after the strong movements from Monday

USD/JPY Looks like the desc will resume, after hitting the min again
USD/CHF: a turn for desc is possible

GOLD: increased from FIB50 to near 900 -> bad for $
GDP/JPY: as $, SELL
USD/EUR: cndle looks pos for EUR
EUR/GDP: hit the support, than went up. looks like the support will be tested again
EUR/CHF: tested support

ALL indexes continued the down movement. looks like the support will be broke.
If I would have money I would buy gold !!

A risky trade: SELL USD/JPY 101.03, st=101.74, lim=100

yesterday I was right
USD/JPY broke the support, FIB68, the next support in 95 => SELL after resume ( strong)
USD/CHF new max, broke ML, strong upward, BUY
GDP/JPY broke the support, SELL ( V strong)
EUR/USD is on the way to FIB68, broke LAP, SELL
EUR/GDP broke an old support, SELL ( strong)

SP500, SELL -> sup 950
NIKKERY on support, if it breaks, it will be more blood
NASCOMP broke ML, is on support
NAS100, idem
DOWJOW reached the target, broke a little FIB 68, it's on support
If the recent highs are reached, BUY




GOLD jumped from fib50% BUY

SP500 a ajuns la un suport, dar pe candle tendita e desc, iar indicatorii confirma trend
NIKEEI broke support, entered 2002-2005 range
NASCOMP reached LAP, rezistence before top of the 2000, the tops which borders the bottom of 2002, there are 2 supports 1900, 1750

NAS100 broke a support from 2004, as NASCOMP, is at rezistence before 2k top. There is a MACD div, but needs confirmation. There is a desc triangle which was broken, so a target could be 1000



KOREA: H&S confirmed, it is half of the movement, 1700->1400->1000


DOWJOW:
near the LAP, support 10k, from 2004
DAX a ajuns in FIB 68, s-a tinut mai bine

GOLD: choppy
USD/JPY - triangle desc, reached FIB 50% and then decreased, AFTER <103.50 -> SELL stop DAY ( STRONG )
USD/CHF: reached ML, closed under M, desc pattern, ( FIB 61): SELL ( STRONG )
GDP/JPY: decreased after FIB 38, is at min ( 2006): SELL ( STRONG )
EUR/USD: broke support from 2006, retest minim, broke twice fib 50, target 1.27 -> SELL ( STRONG )
EUR/GDP: trend desc, it is on support from may, broke a range period, looks like a desc pattern-> SELL ( STRONG )
EUR/CHF: desc

comodities+aur, oil scad

eur-usd div pos, pe WK a ajuns in LAP
ma astept sa se inverseye trendul

bvb e de cumparat
a scazut violent. e gap pe snp
pe sif5 gap pe scadere, gap pe crestere, low in 1.32, aproape de suport, 1.00
sif X pe suport, sau aproape

in general suportul+fosta rez din 2005 s+a verificat si a tinut OIL,IMP
FLA  e in cadere libera, pe spasmul cresc general, a scayut cu gap, a scayut de 4 ori, e 0.12 Sa fie primul faliment de rasunet de la noi

CMP are un grafic firav. in general e unul din vestitorii primaverii. dar acum cred ca e prea devreme
BRK aproape s+a dublat. au stiut cum sa speculeye. e in crestere sanatoasa.

BRD,BIO a depasit cu gap min anterior, + div pos
BCC a scayut in sup, dupa care de 2 sap creste

Valcu spune ca BVB e ff legata de cea din state, deci daca in US creste, at si cea din RO. Un altfel spune ca sunt sanse sa creasca.

DOWJOW + div pos, wk div pos, dar trend desc, e pe suportul din 2005, daca il sparge mai cade inca 30k puncte

http://hymerion.wordpress.com/2008/10/02/remember-al-crizelor-bancare-din-ultimii-30-de-ani/