Monday, November 05, 2012

4 Cellos Concert - 11 Nov in Brussels

DIMANCHE 11 NOVEMBRE 2012 à 17h

"Swing of all places"

Etude et Prélude - F. CHOPIN,
Polonaise de Concert - D. POPPER,
Suite - PIERRE-PETIT
« Ground III » - T. ESCAICH
Concert-Walzer - W. FITZENHAGEN
« The Glass Bamboo Frog Consort » - P. DESENNE
Polonaise de Concert - D. POPPER.

Atelier Marcel Hastir - l'endroit est genial, il y a des tableaux à tous les murs

View atelier marcel hastir in a larger map Rue du commerce 51, 1000 Bruxelles (métro Trône)

Réservations (
c'est plus que recommandé, parce que normalement le concert sera SOLD-OUT):
- par internet: https://sites.google.com/site/ateliermarcelhastir/concerts-et-autres-activites/prochains-concerts
- par mail ateliermarcelhastir@gmail.com
-par téléphone 02/779.99.52 (le soir à p. de 19h/week end)

PAF: 10€, 5€ <12 ans="ans" br="br"> Et la tradition de l'atelier, c'est de vous offrir le verre de l'amitié pour bien finir la soirée...

# posted by dan : 1:57 PM 0 Comments

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

I found very weird that the percent of saved children third class was so small, and that the percentage of saved men third class was twice bigger than men second class.

you can find several explanations on

http://www.ithaca.edu/staff/jhenderson/titanic.html

CLASS DISTINCTIONS

First Class women and children were about 6% of those aboard the Titanic, but constituted 20% of the survivors. In contrast, steerage passengers were a third of all aboard, but only one fourth of those saved.

First Class suites, berths, and social rooms were located principly on the center of the ship on decks A, B, and C (or more poetically the Boat Deck, Promenade Deck and Bridge Deck), with additional cabins on decks D and E. They had either immediate or easy access to the Boat Deck where all of the lifeboats were housed. Lifeboats numbered 1 through 8, which were the first to be launched, were located in the fore of the ship, the First Class Deck. The numbers indicate that First Class Passengers utilized any lifeboat available without compunction.

Second Class rooms were mostly located on decks D and E, with some on lower decks F and G. Where Second Class passengers were on the same deck as First Class passengers, the Second Class passengers were further aft. Some Second Class passengers would have had easy access through a stairway to the stern of the boat deck (Second Class Deck) where lifeboats numbered 9 through 16 were located. More by cultural than physcial barriers, the Second Class passengers would have been prohibited from entering the First Class section of the Boat Deck.

Steerage passengers had rooms on lower decks F and G, with some exceptions, and no direct or immediate access to lifeboats on the boat deck. Many steerage passengers who survived did so only by reaching the last of the lifeboats that were launched. Annie Kelly, an Irish steerage passenger, said that the stewards not only did not wake the steerage passengers with an alarm but told alarmed third class passenger who came up to the deck to go back down as there was no danger

According to several writers and historians, indifference toward steerage passengers and resignation by many steerage passengers may have been more responsible for the low percentages of steerage passenger survival than physical barriers.

At least three of the four women in First Class who perished had the opportunity to board a lifeboat but elected to stay with their husbands and/or family. When they initially made their decisions, most passengers still believed that the Titanic would and could not sink and may have been fearful for the safety of the lifeboats and the boarding process itself.

A "Women and children only" rule was applied on the port side of the ship

Over half of the women in steerage perished.

Less than a third of the children from steerage survived.

Even though some men had no trouble boarding lifeboats, there was a report that the wealthiest man on the Titanic, John Jacob Astor, attempted to board the lifeboat with his wife, but was rebuffed by Second Officer Lightoller, who told him, "Women and children, only, sir."

LIFEBOATS

Half the lifeboats, and all of the first six launched, contained only passengers from First Class, plus crew members to do the work.

The total capacity of the combined total of lifeboats was rated at 1,178. still, the number of saved was 711, number of lost 1513 !!!

14 year old Lucile Carter in First Class was considered a child, but a 14 year old Annie McGowan in Steerage was considered to be an adult.
All of these early launched "First Class" lifeboats were notorious for being launched at less than half capacity. Two of the earliest launched lifeboats, 7 and 1, had more men than women aboard.

It did make a difference whether a passenger was on the port or starboard side of the ship, since the crew loading passengers on the port side did refuse to allow men to board.

Dr. Washington Dodge reported that until the sixth or seventh lifeboat was launched (by which time no Second or Third Class passengers had been put aboard), there was no general awareness that the Titanic would sink. However, evidence is clear that the chief officers of the Titanic knew before the first lifeboat was launced that the Titanic would sink, but did not take measures to ensure that all boats were adequately filled.

Although lifeboat 4 picked up six or eight passengers from the water and D hauled in at least one man before they distanced themselves from the ship, the only lifeboat to go back to try to rescue people after the Titanic went under was 14, not a "First Class" lifeboat. It was only able to pick up three or four passengers from the water.

ADULT MALE PASSENGERS

Men in Second Class had no physical barriers to pass, so honor and resignation may have reigned high. However, more compelling than a sense of good manners and gentlemanliness was probably the stigma of shame and cowardice that would be attached to many adult males who had the audacity to survive the sinking. As a result, adult male survivors had compelling reasons for their defensiveness and inventions of excuses for boarding a lifeboat.

A high percentage of the men in steerage who got to lifeboats reached them only by leaping onto them after they were launched or by scrambling aboard the two emergency lifeboats as they floated off moments before the Titanic finally went down

Mine conclusions:

there could be saved at least double
the rule children & women first wasn't applyed for third class
a lot of lifeboats were underloaded, that explains the big number of saved men from the third class, who having no chance to get a place in a lifeboat, they jumped into the water, and then got a place into a lifeboat
only one lifeboat took people from the sea
Egoism and differences of class explain the low number of survivors

# posted by dan : 10:10 AM 0 Comments

Monday, September 20, 2010

Political Party

Everything should be based on project, if there is no project, the position should disappear.

Exclusive Electronic Payments, No paper money

The corruption, the black money exist only with paper money. If every payment would be electronic, than it would be very easy to track each sum. Like this it is very easy to calculate the taxes, to find the big and weird transfers.

With no paper money, it is hard to sell something stolen, nobody would steal a car to sell it for money in another country.

Inflation calculus is done automatically real time.

Everyone can have access on demand/offer so the economy can adjust quicker.

Because the state has access to every buy, can tax differently on his interests:

If you buy alcohol it is taxed more
If you pay for tennis you get a deduction, because sport makes you healthier so less spending on helth

Vote on internet for each decision

The representative in Parliament just express the vote on internet. People receive on mobile phone the issue that will be debated, and they can vote. The application shows a SWOT analysis to facilitate the decision. The votes are summed up, and repeated in the Parliament.

Lotto selection

If someone represents a group of people, the best way

Vote by education and activities

Sterilization inventive

The state needs people high and well educated. From very poor families, there is a good chance to have bad citizens. If someone agrees to be sterilized for 300Euros, that means a child values less than this sum, so if he would have a kid, he would not provide a good education.

Labels: thoughts

# posted by dan : 10:01 PM 0 Comments

Co-Sharing Bar

Context

To open a bar is one of the most common business ideas.

It is a usual dream because it promises you to have a very good social life, to have a lot of friends, to feel important, to gain a lot of money, to host important people, to be warmly and specially greeted by the waiters in front of the people in your group.

Still, only a few open a bar, due to the high cost.

The profit for a bar is like 300% and the taxes are not paid for every bottle.

Solution

The solution is to have only 1% of a bar with other 99 partners who have the same 1%

Strengths	Weakness
Less money invested 100 owners are already clients, each of them brings his friends when people see a full bar they prefer to be overcrowded than to go to an empty one people vote for all important parameters: location, name, menu, music, design	Less profit, you cannot make very big money
Opportunity	Threats
If one co-sharing bar works, it can be extended to a network, so co-owners can change the bar Can be created an investment fund which manages all these bars, so the final risk is diminish more	People don’t

Actors

Initiator (me):

Creates the project, finds the potential solutions for:

Location
Bar design
Menu, pre-contracts with beer suppliers
Music, bartenders, managers, waitresses

Finds co-partners, presents the concept
Organize meetings and the vote
Handles administrative issues
Does the interface with the executive people

Co-partner:

Votes for a bar setting (all bar parameters)
Invests money in the project
Goes usually to the bar
Invites friends to the bar, promotes the bar

Executive people:

Bartender
Manager
Waiter

Plan

speak with a marketing person (1 day,0 $)
create a facebook account with the description of the concept(1 day, 0$)
find locations, design, music(2 days,0$)
find co-partners: go in bars and , make brief presentation, business card with link to the facebook account(40 days- see calculus below,120$)
check the feedback: the rate of : very interested, interested, not interested to estimate of overall success (1 day,0$)
organize meeting, vote and investment ( 3 meetings = 3 days,0$ )
find executors ( 2 days,20$ - on job site)
open the bar(20 days)

Total time cost: 70 days

Total money cost: 140$

4. Find co-partners time cost:

Suppose that 10% of interviewed people are interested => I need 1000 people

I don’t speak to a single person, but a group, so it is easier to convince a group, than a single person => on average should be 3 persons on a group => I need only 333 interviews

A presentation takes maximum 15 minutes, than the effect is lost => total effort = 80 hours

I can handle 2 hours => 40 days

1 beer at the bar 3$=> 120$

6. Organize meeting -> rent a pub, sell tickets, it’s a simulation for the co-sharing bar

cost: 0$

Business Data

To open a share company, minimum capital is 65.000 Euros

Profit tax: 38%

Dividend tax: 25%

Location cost: 12E / mp / month

Salary costs:

1 manager = 1500 => 3000E gross

1 bartender = 1500 => 3000E gross

1 waiter = 1200 => 2400E gross

Total monthly cost estimation = 10.000

Beer cost = 0.5E

Sell beer price = 3.8E => for break even 3.000 beers must be sold => 100 beers / day => 50 clients

If the co-partners come twice a week => 2* 100 co-partners = 200 clients / 7 = 30 clients / day

If each co-partner bring one friend => 60 clients and break-even is already hit

Condition to select a co-partner for break-even

In the first 6 months each co-partner comes twice a week with a friend and drinks 2 beers.

Labels: businessidea

# posted by dan : 9:25 PM 0 Comments

Monday, September 06, 2010

Moral Break

We observe only by difference. We feel good when something changes from negative to positive and bad vice-verse. But when nothing happens boredom comes and makes us fragile, more open for changes, but minor ones.

The idea is to restrict for a short time something on our lives, so when we regain it we can feel more thankful that we have it.

Examples:

To experiment blindness / deafness for an afternoon
To sleep one night in the woods
To stay alone in a cave, in complete darkness
To spend no money for 3 days
To do some voluntary work for children / old people